my predicktion was 5-10% margin, it seems even higher. The prediction was based purely on the panic mode msm and leftards entered in the run up to election which will be greatest for Trumpet and pivotal for the world. In fact it is probably one of the greatest victory in the history of the world because winning against every aspect of the most powerful government in the world and other existing powers being engaged in assassination, literal and metaphorical, is indeed “so great win, greatest in the world”. We can safely say that he was robbed when Biden was selected as the president.
Everyone seems to be in the camp that Trump will not do much different than any other president or his previous term. It is a reasonable arsessment with the exception that presd’s in their second term tend to be a bit bolder bc they don’t need to protect re-election. However, if Trump does his thing with tariffs, the world will follow and that will be the mrna jab inducing myocarditis of the globalism. Production of something other than IO or diplomas may actually return to a suburb near you. Wishful thinking. IMO Tariffs may solidify US$ hold on the world but only if he miraculously stops debt growth and preempts hyperinflation.
His mega deal to stop the Ukraine war is likely to let the Greensky actor down the river and go back to Minsk agreement in return for reintegration of Russia into western money flow plus drop all the sanctions. Repair Nord Streams too. He’s a trader, not a political thinker. Putin is a pussy, he may blink.
Trumpet made a number o promises for executive-orders and cancel a large number of Biden era fuckups the moment he steps back into the WH. If he remember these, all of them, then he may actually have some balls. How he positions on genocide in Philistine post-election will indicate the path he’s to take on the world war development.
My hopes are that lefties who dominate every aspect of our lives and leach on our freedoms will be so upset that mrna induced myocarditis will be quite possible (study says that 92% of all leftards are jabbed and multi-boosted and 100% are boosted at least once). They cannot have stroke as the main pre-requirement is having a brain. But then the myocarditis requires heart so…
Wogs that wrote this article respect elders that wrote articles in this pond, past present and future. Oh, not to forget ."..and the holy Dumbo, the tzar, the caesar of the dubious cognitively dissonant articles"
of course, above is a satirical thought of the current thing…
That’s a good write up.
I also think that trump will be more effective this time around.
he has more experience now, knows the ropes. Apparently has Elon Musk on side and very significant public support (and public rejection of democrat sissy nonsense). What you might call a mandate.
wouldn’t be surprised if the effect of his economic policy will make borrowing rates in US notably lower than the rest of the world. This would be an interesting challenge for asset pricing outside USA
I think one of the few things that is guaranteed to happen is Elon will streamline government and a lot of middle-aged and older people, a lot of them women, will be sacked, and I don’t look too favourably on their employment prospects. Private businesses will probably favour people who just want to work and not bitch and gossip and play politics. They might have to sell one of their ips.
I listened to ABC Sydney radio for 10 minutes and it was full of older white women calling in and they were very upset. Ha ha.
Oh well play stupid games win stupid prizes.
BTC went up to record highs the moment Trump claimed victory. BTC is going to double at least before this cycle is over.
BTC domination continues to seem pretty inevitable (unless inflation is really brought under control, and I don’t mean “2%”).
I like what Michael Saylor has built and is scaling up. It’s a very clever market-cornering machine and if he can continue executing in a disciplined manner, he may well succeed. If he manages to incite a bit of copycat behaviour by other corporates it will be really wild.
The big picture of it actually resembles ezfka property – limited supply trying to absorb unlimited demand, juiced by leverage and secured by its own rising value.
Interesting that gold and silver have pulled back a little by comparison
Can’t read too much into short term price movements
but I think that gold has had a very good run already, somewhat better than i had expected
could be that gold’s potential is well understood, whereas BTC is still being digested, so they move in different directions even while they are similar assets (BTC with obvious advantages)
its going to be interesting now watching how many (or rather how few) of his promises he actually intends to fulfil. im guessing very few or none.
I don’t think so.
Trump was surprised on his first election, he didnt onow how the system worked and didn’t have a plan. He tried his best, but was disorganised and he was outgunned by the deep state.
This time, I have no doubt that he understands the situation, has a plan, and he’s going to put it into effect as best he can.
He also has people like Musk, Vance, Kennedy, Ramaswamy and Gabbard backing him. I’m no Musk fan boy, but he is a guy who gets shit done and takes no prisoners.
I really doubt that the swamps lawfare and bullshit, which was so effective in his first term, will work this time around.
I’m more interested to see how he tackles Ukraine and Israel.
Ukraine perhaps some kind of DMZ with borders redrawn, Israel good luck talking down Netanyahu at this point.
nobody who is smart is ever going to take the u.s at its word again
turns out primaries exist for a reason. trying to shuffle in some backroom spook no one wanted or voted for might fly in countries like australia but not there. my guess is the election became unsalvageable for Ds the moment joe biden revealed how senile he really was.
Saturation and memory (the missing ingredients for local awakening).
They just had too much of the same shyte for too long and a candidate who is not a litter of the same ole. No matter how realistic or not, it is a hope.
Unlike Kamilla, Trumpet will make America look great on the way down.
I note your comment
However, there are a number of things in your piece I’d like to address, as well as add some of my own thoughts.
First, attaboy for your “predicktion“. Hope you made some money off it. But it was certainly not “one of the greatest victory in the history of the world“. Outside of the echo chamber of the MSM, the mood on the ground was easily read. Kamala never stood a chance. Populace may be sheep, but they do remember what is hitting their back pocket, and last 4 years, compared with the first term of Trump, were certainly not good. Trump won on economy, everything else is an afterthought. Paging Bill Clinton.
Second, I do think that Trump, having won his second term, after being denied (robbed, outsmarted, outmanoeuvred) it in 2020, already got what he wanted – to come back triumphant. Trump approached 2024 a very different man from what he was in 2016, I think he was out for revenge, which he now has. His main job would be to set up JD Vance in 2028.
I think we will still see same old brash Donald, talking loud, announcing attempts to restructure government, downsize, he’ll put Musk in charge of the effort. Problem is, to downsize government necessarily requires parts of the existing government employees (bureaucrats) to take on their fellow bureaucrats – internal fight to secure their own job at the expense of their colleagues. This is not a corporate environment, it is not Twitter getting 75% of its staff laid off. Short of firing the entire agency and hiring new employees, will not work. Much easier to organise passive resistance and wait out 4 years – happens all the time. But this whole thing I expect to be made into a show, especially in the absence of “Russian collusion 2024”.
Third. Tariffs. Sure, raise them 60% on Chinese goods. Two outcomes: US consumer pays more for just about everything, or Mexico imports go even higher. I’ve touched on this before – Mexican imports pretty much correlate with decline in Chinese imports to the USA after last round of tariffs.
Fourth. War in Ukraine. If you do really think “Putin is a pussy“, there is no point of even having this point debated, as the statement is moronic.
Fifth. Palestine. There are still 2.5 months to go to see what Netanyahu will accomplish. In any case, there is only one course of action left – US boots on the ground. Biden has already committed some as THAAD support, without explicitly stating so. Trump may or may not follow, one of his pledges is to have no more wars. That would include Palestine, unless that will turn out to be different. If Jared plays a role in the new Trump administration, this may well become an exception and Palestine continues.
Sixth. Trump is an isolationist. MAGA, MAHA, etc. Nothing about global society, nothing about WEF or the like. But he is entering the world that is drastically different from 2016 and even from 2020. In the last 4 years reality on the ground has changed. USA is not the hegemon any longer, Global South is a real thing, multipolarity is a real thing, BRICS outgrew G7 in GDP, population, economic output, growth forecasts. In this environment it is much harder to be an isolationist and bend nations and regions to your whim. By the end of his second term, we may find even the staunch allies asking themselves “Why do we need the USA?”