The proper way to atone for prior missteps is not to whine and make regretful noises, but to make sure to get it correct the next time!
So here we are on another Tuesday, gearing up to watch the rate that stops the nation. …or at least the economic zone.
Let’s have at it
25bips…jes coz
Yes 25bps. CBs are making their next big mistake with smaller rate rises. Markets are partying again and we will end up with an even higher terminal rate.
Anything other than 50bps will be a fucking mockery
Should really be 75-100bps, but we know that’s never going to happen.
25bps just announced, so mockery it is.
lowe: “of course it is different this time”
/s
hey …it is different this time…it’s never been worse
Do you think that every time RBA hikes 25bps and Fed hikes 75 that there is anyone feeling of anxiety or guilt in the RBA. Like the day after you sleep with something you really shouldn’t have?
Being that they have long experience with rooting the populace without lube, I am very sure that there is zero regret from them
Considering the Fed is using language about having to keep hiking hard to avoid an even “more severe recession”. It makes you wonder how fucked we might be here. Australia seems to be stuck with this economic exceptionalism and are still talking about a soft landing. Will we be so lucky this time?
Short answer is no, but they will print like mofo’s in order to try to save it.
Whatever they are saying they are hiking hard to cause a recession. That is how inflation will be driven down.
If you were to destroy the financial system and the economy would you have done anything different to what they did so far?
Sure,
crank interest rates to 20%+ 30 years ago and leave them there.
“We must destroy the village to save the village”
The RBA can’t respond or follow the Fed higher – the only release valve left in the system is the AUD…. if the Fed keeps hiking, and hiking for a while, do not be surprised to see the AUD fall to the mid 40c.
It’s a rock and a hard place though.
Higher rates and a low AUD will both fuck the place, just in different ways.
yeh, this is true. The real question is distributional. That is – who exactly pays.
surveys of the Church of Propadee congregation reveal a clear preference for a low AUD.
I’ve described the potential dynamic before:
so banks are saved, which is the name of the game
also borrowers are saved (silver medal)
the pain is handed to everyone else.
On the other hand, a crashing AUD is far less appealing to the predatory migrant that is simply scouring the global for the best economy to affix themselves too.
Yeah offshore buyers might find our housing more attractive, but just how many nations currencies are going to be falling slower than the AUD. The US is strangling them all. The UK has similar lending term structures as Australia, hence they’re going to be in a similar position as ourselves – no real benefit to the expats living there.
True but of the two I would prefer a lower AUD – it puts less of a crimp on inelastic consumer spending, in terms of food, rent and local services. We all still have to eat and catch trains, etc. Cost of goods may sky rocket, but they’re gunna do that anyways. But yeah, compared to the Fed they have far fewer options open to them.
I think a low AUD will impact those more than you are thinking, and local “services” are likely to be the first things jettisoned in hard times given they are mostly luxuries.
where do you think it will hit significantly, the imported inflation due to low AUD?
Running shoes? Cosmetics? Floor tiles? TVs and washing machines? Jeans?
serious question.
Energy prices, quite a bit of food is imported(especially the cheaper options), along with packaging for locally produced.
Any and all consumer goods given we make nothing any more, so kitchen appliances, clothes, tv’s, baby products, furniture and on and on.
New car prices will push up so used car prices will also push up higher again on further increased demand.
Even something as basic as steel is heavily imported now.
Are you kidding? We make nothing here anymore, practically. And anything we do make that is exported, locals pay export prices anyway which will be jacked up “because inflation”
Ergo EVERYTHING is impacted.
+umpteen to this..”locals pay export prices…”
I’d agree that our lack of domestic manufacturing would hurt us more relatively than other countries, that will also be in the same boat as us.
i would chime in to also say (agree, I think) that the “imported inflation” bogeyman tends to be significantly overstated.
whilst it’s true that we don’t manufacture goods here & so have to import – the fact is, very little of the average EZFKA Unit budget is directed that way.
most of the budget goes to
very little of that stuff is imported, with the notable exception of liquid transport fuel. The machinery to produce it might be, but the capital cost of that is amortised over a long time.
Say you go spend $200 at a restaurant – it’s all staff and rent and ingredients costs. None of that is imported. Yeah, they use some Asian-manufactured kitchen equipment and imported plates, but their cost is a tiny fraction of your bill.
you take the bus – the costs are all driver, maintenance, fuel. The bus itself runs for 20 years and provides millions of passenger-trips. If the cost of the bus doubles (because it is imported), that would only add a cent or two per trip.
same deal for train.
etc, etc
Quite a lot of it is, especially the cheaper options. That will be the killer. If you think food is not imported you haven’t spent much time looking at labelling in the supermarket.
As always the relatively wealthy won;t have it bad, the poor will just get shafted.
I’ve looked at the analysis. My conclusion is different to yours.
with negligible exceptions, all fresh meat and fruit and vegetables are local.
a lot of pasta and rice is imported, but local is available.
thats 80% of your diet right there.
imports are things in cans and jars (beans, corn, fish, jam). It’s there, but it’s at the margin.
Quite a bit of meat is imported from https://scottsdalepork.com.au/blog/where-is-your-pork-coming-from
Fresh fruit and veg cost quite a bit more than the imported canned stuff, and given how much ostensibly fresh is frozen it wouldn’t surprise me if quite a bit is imported as well.
How much people are effected depends on income as always, as your reference to restaurants show. The people who are going to be impacted are not regularly going to restaurants.
The effects are at the margins, but the margins are what matter. People who are barely able to afford their mortgage aren’t eating a diet of predominantly fresh fruit and meat. They are eating cheaply and if the cheap stuff goes up they may no longer be able to afford that mortgage.
You forgot the first bit:
😉
im trying to explain how the supermarket and green grocer food is local, not just the restaurant food.
I agree that the margins matter, but I think you’re overestimating the impact on things like food.
id say that most of the impact is likely to be indirect. If foreign-sourced food falls always as competition, margins on the local stuff will fatten somewhat.
(in all, that’s not a bad thing, right? That’s what wage rises are made of… in theory)
And I think you are underestimating, especially for the lower income brackets.
The higher cost nice supermarket and green grocer food. The cheaper stuff is almost always imported.
Also from the maker pushing it’s australianness
How hard can it be to make brine and salts…
Also the label made in australia doesn’t actually mean very much.
And of course we have the argument that basic foods are already inflating heavily. MY shopping bill has increased massively in the last year. What do you think the cause is if it’s all local peachy? Wages?
possibly… but it looks increasingly likely that the real life experiment is about to be run and we will find out.
greengrocer and supermarket food is just what people eat. It’s not “nicer”.
What do you think people eat, if not that?
https://healthyeating.sfgate.com/eating-habits-lowincome-populations-11376.html
I also can’t help but note that the AUD has fallen significantly in the last year and grocery bills have climbed significantly in the same timeframe.
uh huh, and quite a bit….transport and whatnot getting it in the neck with diesel cost
Lower AUD increases fuel costs which drive machinery to harvest, transport and distribute food.
Some food is imported.
Alcohol – will go up indirectly because wages will go up, because everything else goes up. But yes not directly AUD impacted
Transport – you’re forgetting fuel and power costs respectively. We have more and more imported parts and machinery.
Utilities – are you living under a rock? Everything is privatised and we’re obviously paying export prices for everything we do produce.
In summation I’m not sure how you went from “inflation is the devil” to “a lower AUD won’t drive much inflation”
It will absolutely drive inflation just like 10 years ago the high dollar reduced inflation via cheap imports
…as an aside, old Phil couldn’t quite bring himself to say “devil”, and went with “evil” instead, the other day.
changed the words in the speech to come across as more inclusive/less religious.
Anyhow, I understand what you’re saying. And I agree directionally. But I urge you to reconsider the likely quantum of the impact of lower AUD on the regular EZFKA unit household budget.
I think “low AUD = skyhigh costs” is a bit of a kneejerk reaction, and the truth is somewhat different.
most food is local (exceptions would be things like canned food, rice, pasta)
Transport is mostly fuel costs, which I’d conceded upfront.
utilities aren’t actually export competitive except on fuel (which element I’d conceded)
this leaves the durables … but due to their nature their impact on budget will be slow. Also muted, because if the cost of replacement is higher, then existing durables will be kept in service rather than dumped and replaced.
and a quiet query from me…how is ezfka growing this affordable food with fertiliser prices where they are? …and prices will be rising further I fear.
How is ezfka going to maintain its machinery fleet?
imported spares are usurious now and getting worse.
New machinery is becoming out of the question.
$7/kg for seconds carrots?
570/t wheat?
I can’t see RBA letting AUD go that low. The same way we lost manufacturing due to higher AUD, a low AUD will also kill off many companies. Inflation on imports, debt denominated in USD, etc.
I am cheering on much higher US interest rates and RBA forced to defend AUD. That is worst case scenario for Aus propadee.
there is an important time dimension to this.
for example, if the expectation is that Fed will do a round trip from here to 5% then back down to 2% all within 24 months, you could actually get away with treading water at ~~3% all this time (and just watch the AUD sink to, say .50, then eventually recover to .70)
whereas if the Fed looks like it will hike and hold for a longish time, somewhere along the line, defending AUD might be necessary…
Personally, I do believe that capitalism needs a solid positive interest rate in order to function. Also that labour must be valued. In other words – both capital scarcity and labor scarcity are desirable: they’re what leads to good system optimisation for efficiency, etc.
But I don’t drive the bus, see.
Something drastic would need to happen. Bond markets are over 4% all the way out.
United States Government Bonds – Yields Curve (worldgovernmentbonds.com)
Australia not far behind at the long end implying rates will converge.
Bonds – prices (asx.com.au)
Agreed. I would add higher taxes. Or rather, taxes better spent. Scrap superannuation. The 10% employer contribution plus all the money saved on super tax concessions for the rich are more than enough to fund a decent retirement and healthcare for all retirees. Of course Labor will share that pool of money with immigrant parents ffs.
yeha, I see the market pricing, but, as you know the market pricing isn’t exactly an infallible predictor.
The US chart you linked to has the historical dotted lines showing this – the long end has seen about 50bps of repricing in just the last month and over 100bps in the last 6 months.
I’m not actually disagreeing overall in relation to convergence tendency. But I do think that RBA is tempted to drag its heels and see how much work it can get the FX rate to do. Remember commodities are still very very strong, so the AUD rate gets a bit of a free kick through that (ie it can tolerate more interest rate differential with relatively less response)
A Honda Civic is already a $50k car it’ll be $65k if we have a dollar in the 40s.
uncle says that smart money buys the Corolla and not the Civic.
also, I think you’ll find that, in aggregate, it’s quite possible to purchase significantly fewer new cars, and let the average age of the fleet creep up as existing cars are kept on the road for longer and longer, instead of being scrapped.
Cuba is an extreme example of this…
which is to say, a dollar in the 40s can be lived with. Ways can be found to cope.
It may not, it all depends on how much of the village the US wants to burn down in order to save the village. I would put the chances higher than most people think, especially if they strangle it enough to cause a commodity collapse.
..
Do you think that every time RBA hikes 25bps and Fed hikes 75 that there is anyone feeling of anxiety or guilt in the RBA. Like the day after you sleep with something you really shouldn’t have?
pandemic amnesty? 😂 😂 😂
“….Emily Oster may have said a few reasonable things in the depths of her pandemic moderation, but she can take her proposal for pandemic amnesty and shove it all the way up her ass. I’m never going to forget what these villains did to me and my friends…..”
https://www.eugyppius.com/p/emily-oster-proposes-a-pandemic-amnesty?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=268621&post_id=81752867&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email
I read that this morning, and I wholeheartedly concur with his sentiments.
The covid tyrants, and I include my ex employers in this, can go fuck themselves
I’ll never forget and never forgive.
Right on brother. I too will never forget.
Coughid really shone a light on numerous facets of this disfunctional place called EZFKA
Some who feels much the same as Eugyppius…
https://hotair.com/david-strom/2022/10/31/the-atlantic-calls-for-covid-amnesty-n506977
Aaannnnd….the Bad Cat gives Oster both barrels, follows up with a butt stroke, thrusts in the bayonet and furiously stomps on her corpse.
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/emily-osters-no-good-really-bad-terrible?utm_medium=reader2
Forgiveness?
Revenge is the term I’m looking for.
Hear Hear, I want jail time for the ones that pushed the crap on us.
In this country this shall be when never happens, or not even then.
Besides, greasing up pikes with polies is like shooting the messenger (‘zdat an upside down pun?) to protect those whose name shall never be said,
I understand that ezfka is largely a place to comment and hang out and bounce ideas and links around, however I do miss more of the longer pieces, including the satire, which in my view has huge potential for bringing over new readers and commenters.
Anyone can post. You too.
Meanwhile, tyranny with a cool name creeps a little closer in the UK….
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/10/30/oxford-has-gone-back-feudalism/
oster can get fkt
Guaranteed to have a closet fall of tiny hats.
I’m thinking natural justice. Impalement. Heads on spikes. That sort of thing.
much more exciting than the melbourne cup isnt it
instead of some horse breaking its leg and getting the curtain put up around it, we will have the same thing happen to “savers” or FHBs
lol…
probably why she was turfed the way it went down. when you’re phone is being admitted into un security council meeting as evidence of a terrorist attack – bad look 🙁
surely a representative sample
yeah should have gone with anonymous sources instead…
Nice to know that even in a biased survey where a tiny portion of unvaccinated population make up 37% of respondents, that the majority of people who got vaccinated would do it again.
They’re either deluded or employing ‘cope’.Nothing stopping them from boostering themselves to infinity.
Please get boosted people! enjoy your shit health and reduced lifespan.
this is kind of the same phenomenon as people who put ukrainian flags and 3 syringes in their twitter bio
Its a way for people to feel very special, when in fact they are ordinary
“im an exceptionally rare unvaccinated person who is far superior to these other people”
The reality is the vaccine made almost zero difference to anybody in either direction
except all the people that died from it.
and for the 99.99% of people who didn’t die from either covid or the jab?
I guess they are in the same boat as the 99.99% of people who didn’t get birth defects from thalidomide…
I don’t usually reply to you for obvious reasons
but thought this might be instructive for the general ezfka’er
Almost every mother who used thalidomide got birth defects in their child
Even after one single tablet
Which is why it is not even remotely comparable you absolute imbecile
who’s areshole did you pull 99.99% out of?
Excess deaths are much higher than that in the UK health data, and only in those who have been vaccinated.
Strangely the covid caused myocarditis you keep going on about seems to only be effecting those who have been vaxxed.
You should do some similar analysis on RSA. Explain where all these excess deaths came from pre-vaccine.
Report on Weekly Deaths in South Africa | South African Medical Research Council (samrc.ac.za)
IF you can find the raw data somewhere then I might have a look. My can be fucked factor to actually look for it is non existent though.
Don’t want to talk about anything other than thalidomide? OK.
What percentage of the whole population was effected by thalidomide?
How many people were forced or pressured into taking thalidomide?
When the dust settles on this it will be far more significant than thalidomide was.
Nah my whole fam except my missus is unvaxxed. Gran and sister still ain’t caught coughid
The US VAERS system shows around 15000 hospitalisations for vaccine induced myocarditis/pericarditis, with about 1500 severe injuries and several hundred deaths.
Given that VAERS is widely acknowledged as significantly under-reporting reality, that doesn’t seem like zero difference to me.
The Journal of the American Heart Association, which I believe to be credible, has also just published two articles about treating vaccine induced myocarditis. I don’t think they’d be doing this if the problem was trivial.
meanwhile back at the ranch…brownouts for perth…fukaduk eh? domgas reservation don’t work without investing in generation assets? gee who knew? betcha immigration fixes it.
https://www.6pr.com.au/was-latest-tool-to-reduce-power-outages/
Gotta love the free market solution that prioritises profits over anything the populace may actually want, like reliable power.
“brownouts for perth”
No. That’s not what it says.
more a personal view tbf
It heavily implies it though.
Why else would they have warning systems for impending blackouts?
A new warning system is being introduced in Western Australia in an attempt to reduce power outages.
People will be notified and asked to reduce their power usage if their suburb is at risk of a blackout.
Breaking news?
Russia upset country it invaded has retaliated.
The purpose of the UN deal was supposedly to get the grain flowing again. Unknown how much was used to deliver weapons. The deal was bad for Russia since a lot of their own grain got stuck in European ports instead of going to where it was supposed to go.
In any case it wasn’t meant to be used to stage attacks on each other but hey if Ukraine wants to do that, Russia will reneg.
Just another example of Ukrainian and Western duplicity.
Nah, “upset” is not even wrong word to use.
The Z’s have opened up the corridor knowing that it will be violated sooner or later and now have legit reasons to block the port. It is posturing for history books.
Zero, they have blinked in the UK, they don’t have the balls to crash the economy here with a rise ….
25 is the number, and the number shall be 25. amen and a women.
0.5% would be admitting getting it wrong last month so they will do 0.25%.
.25, they would do zero but they can’t let the spread grow too much with the US
yawn …25bips and didja see the fx crosses fly?.. no I didn’t either …yawn
so now in the interest fo being wrong soonest and mostest …rba pause december snore all thru january and shit the bed in panic february
So much of health care is a money making scam, including the covid hysteria. Here is a recent journal article that looked at the efficacy of healthcare interventions that have been reviewed by the Cochrane collaboration. The short answer is only a measly 6% of healthcare interventions have reliable data showing they benefit the patient. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0895435622001007?via%3Dihub
I once did a research paper on evidence based health care and factors of the built environment improving health outcomes based on reduction of meds and length of stay. Daylight and greenery are the two items supported by evidence along with positive distractions such as artwork and music.
Yet the healthcomplex demands these huge follies when we’d be better off attending to patients in caravans in a field.
When you make healthcare a for profit activity all the incentives are to make more money, not to make people healthy.
Remember this anytime you want a privatised health system.
It worked so well with the power grid…
The internet never forgets. Some MB articles from earlier this year 🙂
March
OCR futures prediction 2.65%.
DLS: “if the RBA were to follow market directions this time, all it will be doing is making room for a depression as house prices halve around the country”
Aussie house prices to be destroyed by eleven rate hikes – MacroBusiness
April
OCR futures prediction 3.5%.
Leith: “CBA tips the OCR will peak at 1.25%. I am firmly in the CBA’s camp on interest rates for the simple fact that Australians are carrying so much debt that larger rate rises risks crashing the housing market and smashing the economy.”
Mortgaged Aussie households shake in their boots – MacroBusiness
May
OCR futures prediction 3.5%.
Leith: “The latest forecast from futures markets is now tipping that Australia’s official cash rate (OCR) will hit 2.8% by December before peaking at 3.5% by July 2023. I view the futures market’s interest rate projections as stark raving mad. Be thankful the interest rate lever is with the RBA, not the crazy futures markets.”
Insane markets double down to torch Australian house prices – MacroBusiness
Lol amazing
really wonder if maybe a bot wrote these articles
they’re identical just increase the numbers
no actual thought goes into it
i still want to know why higher rates are inflationary when they increase the creation of reserves
this guy suggests something but I feel this Twitter advice is worth what you pay for it
ie nothing
https://twitter.com/macroalf/status/1586793209035984896?s=46&t=2Mf3PYEaPyJaN7iyFjNJRQ
Nice post!
‘Why the RBA will NOT hike rates before 2024…
It won’t be in any rush to lift rates on that basis alone. But it also has macroprudential tools for house prices to work with these days so when the time does come those will be used first. And, given how central house prices will be to the recovery, the spillovers over to the wider economy may be considerably more potent than the last cycle.
I can see the RBA not hiking until 2024. Indeed, I see it easing more before them via a pivot to the long-end of the bond curve with even more QE.’
https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2021/02/why-the-rba-will-not-hike-rates-before-2024/
LOL – when I read that article
Who is writing those MB articles? hope it’s not the bloke running their investment fund.
Another reference to MPLOL to control house prices, when in fact APRA had already done the opposite in reducing mortgage buffers.
Nice.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/othersports/article-11372029/Victorian-Premier-Dan-Andrews-rushes-help-child-COLLAPSED-Netball-Australia-announcement.html
was it the jab, or climate change
LOL – I cracked up when I heard Victoria was sponsoring the Netballers.
Of course the most fucked up woke Govt in Australia (so far) would swoop in and save Netball Australia from disaster and the consequence of allowing their players egos to be bigger than the game.
I’m a little surprised.
I would assume netball is an Anglo hetero sport , mostly tall sandy blondes no?
lol – I did actually marry a tall sandy blonde netballer.
My objection is to Govt funding these sporting bodies. I have no issue in them funding a diverse array of sporting facilities – it is the funding of sporting associations that piss me off, because once they get funding then they start lobbying for the Govt money to be directed towards their sport facilities which only leads to further sporting concentration.
The zenith of this outcome is the NSW Govt selling our Land Titles Registry to build a new football stadium in Sydney following the lobbying of the Rugby league body… how many netball courts, skate parks, basketball courts, velodromes, hockey rinks, etc could have been built throughout the state for the money they wasted on knocking down a perfectly good stadium to build another one that will sit 3/4 empty for 9 out of 10 games played there?
Splashing our taxes on virtue signalling for their mates, while spending the last few years hugely upset about exactly the same type of pork barrelling by the Libs and Nats.
Who knew the Leftards would be so stupid and hypocritical?
And on a pure return basis, what sort of DD did the ‘decision makers’ from Visit Victoria do about what returns $15m would bring?
Netball fans decision on travel to Victoria influenced by the odd chance of seeing the name on the jersey?
As opposed to just $5m of ad spend on an overseas market? Overseas tourists spend 4-5 times the $ than domestic.
As a business decision it’s stupid.
As yet another political spin decision by Dictator Dan, it makes sense.
Who knew the Leftards would be so stupid and hypocritical?
Anyone with half a brain.
Cheers it was a rhetorical question.
Funny how those same Alt Left types are now just rolling out the Magda Szubanski’s “apology” for her blackface episode.
She can be a racist pig, but it’s ok because she did it ages ago and anyone who blames her is a just dangerous Alt Right Troll.
After years of clearly having a lazy slovenly lifestyle, she can now reap taxpayer dosh from the ABC luvvies looking at what a fat fuck she is and how that ruined her health. But she’s the victim after all, the ABC article today says “Magda talks about her own reaction to the extent of chronic illness in Australia and why it’s not just a failure of will on the part of the individual “.
Introduced by none other than Chief Covid fear Monterer Norman Swan, whose first like was “On Gadigal land” (getting the first virtue signal in early).
Magda lists her “illnesses” as if they magically landed on her, rather than are a direct result of her obesity. “I also suffer from Sleep Apnoea “.
Huh?
Ok, she’s a victim. Everyone is a victim now. No one can be held accountable for their action, or blamed.
Even if she’s spent her career being a silly fat fuck, you can’t actually say she is one because that’s ‘fat shaming’.
It all gets very muddled when dealing with those fucktards.
Stupidity and Hypocrisy is such a massive part of their ‘psyche’.
https://amp.bodyandsoul.com.au/health/magda-szubanski-slams-toxic-diet-culture-saying-size-isnt-a-choice/news-story/ef1c344a39bee0c870c2f4f15b8bb544
lolol
I just love this: “but I suffer from….”
hey, don’t worry, be happy… y’all stop suffering when ya dead
I couldn’t be bothered reading it all. She’s a fat disgusting slob. Does that bag of chips just jump out of the shelf into the trolley, did the car develop automatism and direct itself to the KFC drive thru.
Fuuuuck off you pig.
lmao
Her apologising for black face is ridiculous – the whole idea you can’t dress up as another race and role play and enjoy the moment is ridiculous – more than anything it highlights the importance of ‘race’ among those who object to it.
FFS it is just people having fun… I don’t have any problem with people of other races impersonating or lampooning white people, when it is in the spirit that dressing up involves. Who can ever forget “White Chicks”?
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0381707/
Not my cup of tea, but I’m not going to demand groveling apologies from the Wayans brothers.
Never apologise.
As for Magda – FMD this takes being a fat fuck to the next level. Sure some people have hormone issues (supposedly) meh I’ll accept it without looking into it. But this just reeks of societies move towards ‘everything wrong with me is everyone’s fault but my own‘. It is weak, it is pathetic, it is a complete lack of ownerhip and it dooms believers into never improving themselves.
By far the majority of fat fucks are fat because they are lazy, seek comfort from their mental insecurities in food, or just have zero understanding of nutrition.
Eat less carbs in all its forms (sugar, potatoes, bread and rice). Eat more proteins, don’t avoid fat – fat makes you feel full (and for longer). Avoid all seed oils – I use gee or Olive oil (the misses occasionally uses peanut oil or grapeseed oil in her stir fries). Finally don’t eat outside of your three meals a day. Exercise regularly, even if that is simply walking the dog. Simples.
Magda is fat because she’s weak, she’s neurotic, and I’d probably guess she’s got a poor understanding of nutrition – this is probably the only thing that is not her fault, given the general public have been propagandasized in to accepting nearly the complete opposite of what I’ve suggested above.
The Japanese wear nose prosthetics to dress up as us. IMO it’s pretty funny.
Eg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qyy1HC9MTHc
LOL – I’ve heard Asians say we all look the same. Giant noses in the middle of our faces.
Unless you are an over emoting leftist looking for offence (or a super critical rightwinger looking to achieve reciprocity to the lefts eternal angst over offending other races).
I was in a market in Thailand a few years ago and saw fake arses for sale. Teeny little Thai women with no bums who want to look like Kim Kardashain can buy fake booties to attract blokes.
Can you imagine the disappointed look on the guys face when he tears her clothes off and discovers what is actually in her knickers?
The same as the one when the makeup comes off or the push up bra, or he’s 2 busy shoving his dick in to even notice. Dealers choice.
😂 i crying now
Thailand has a lot more perils than fake asses, I hear. I think they invented ladyboys.
Best white face skit
https://youtu.be/l_LeJfn_qW0
Yup – funny. Those who can’t laugh at themselves take themselves too seriously, and once again, more than anything it highlights the importance of ‘race’ among those who object to it.
I enjoyed that. Does that make me a bad person haha. Another blowin ethnic who rather than get a productive job , chose to be a fat clown. I think it should be called Theire ABC.
So sick of celebtards , don’t need to know how nonna cooked her fucking bread, and their personal journey . Assimilate muthafu…..
Victoria is spending hundreds of millions refurbishing Docklands stadium and adding a shopping precinct. This will seem like pocket change when we get the 2032 Olympics bill.
Will be an even bigger bill when they wake up to the fact that Global travel is about to become prohibitively expensive for the masses who use to like to travel to attend these events or at least travel to the city hosting it.
We are now past the Golden age of travel – in the future this will only be accessible to the leisure class of the very rich.
Well done. I once picked up a bird who was an ex under 18’s national hockey player so she said. Crazy time , naked about to seal the deal and her flat mate comes in and screams ‘hes wearing a dress and next thing my cunt mate come in wearing a red dress whilst applying lipstick. We were told to leave. That fucker owes me. She was a blonde honey.
In relation to SFS I know of some of the history in regards to that. I honestly don’t believe the NRL lobbied for it. This was the gents at the SCG trust and the previous sepo architects , they believe the centralised model of MCG to play big games and turning home fields into training facilities is the way. In the original version of the project which proposed building a new stadium on parkland the objections were deafening. The previous old boys COX were reinstated and Allianz knocked over. That stadium was perfectly fine. The sightlines were fine from the seating bowl and the capacity was ok for %95 of events. This wankery is game of mates writ large.
The sad thing is the same poptards are going to destroy the Gabba.
19 years so far – the poor long suffering Sheila. She was quite the player in the day, threw out more boxes of trophies than you’d see in a RSL foyer and even the measling ones she kept still outnumber the number of trophies I’ve won, let alone kept, ten to one.
As to the SCG Trust – don’t get me started on those fuckers. They handed over the Moore Park netball courts to private administers to look after…. for a fee. That meant that previously when we went down to the netball courts on a Sunday arvo to shoot hoops or have a skate we suddenly had to start paying $5 a person – for what was effectively public land.
In England the private enclosure of public lands through the commons lead to a civil war. Here in Australia it is approvingly justified as responsible social policy.
Still a better outcome with whole 10 games played.
For an ultimate waste of resources I give you Talladega Super Speedway!
Massive structure in the middle of Alabama, used two weekends per year. TBH, massive fun. I was in attendance for the race back in 2008, camped in the infield in one of those massive buses with 5 other mates.
One of the punters even had a double decker strip club trailer set up, with poles and everything. Lots of local talent gave it a go, and Alabama girls are quite fine when young. At the end of the second night he got kicked out, though, Bible belt state and all.
It also gave us Talladega Nights!
I am so glad that the hospital system is great along with the education system, roads have no potholes, trains all run on time. That we can pay money for these netballers. Oh wait, the hospital system collapsed, schools are understaffed. Glad Victoria has its priorities straight.
It was 100% a political statement by that snaggle toothed moron.
Ha! Fucking idiot boss of Visit Victoria (just call yourself Tourism FFS) posts on Linked In thinking he can humble brag in a safe space…they’re lining up to pit him, showing no one thinks it’s anything but virtue signalling and sucking up to the Dictator…even a Barrister gets into him, “where’s the business case?”
fresh anecdata, a mate with 3x Emma Renay, suffering with several heart issues. Convinced by his GP… 😕
Suddenly is an equal opportunity killer. Rich or poor, it doesn’t matter.
https://www.dailywire.com/news/colorado-gop-leader-hugh-mckean-dies-suddenly-at-55
Someone I never heard of or give a shit about is Pinin’ For The Fjords
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-02/julie-powell-julie-julia-author-dies/101605346
Age 49 for a wealthy woman is a pretty good innings, isnt it?
These Covid Karens in the MSM are still pumping out the narrative hey?
Not even a hint of irony with a “died suddenly”…missed opportunity that.
LOL fuck.
Coming in thick and fast at the moment.
Julie Powell wished death on anti- vaxxers, so sucked in and go straight to Hell Julie.
The following link is to a Neon Nazi anti-semitic hate site. Please do not click on it if you are the sensitive type.
https://dailystormer.in/disgusting-vaxer-cunt-dies-of-heart-attack-at-49/
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11379385/Zoe-Daniels-meets-Chinese-Ambassador-Xiao-Qian.html
two anti-australian foreigners meet
Scary when these Doctor’s wives get into power. If it was just ABC luvvies whining to each other about Climate Change while they pick up Tristan from BGS rowing in her XC90 it would be ok, but these Leftards will do real damage.
The Teal EZFKA coupon holders won’t realise, the internet is so shabby from Provence darling.
just gotta fk around…
https://twitter.com/KimDotcom/status/1587434317189636097
lolcat at that guy.
If this was actually true why wouldn’t they just stop it before it happens?
Yes.That fat german dotblob is full of shit.
I hope the yanks rendition him to Guantanamo so he can lose some weight.
knowing someone did something and knowing someone will do something is quite different.
also, they could’ve known someone may do something but could’ve done nuttin, about it or even a far end of spectrum that they knew sfa about it bc their spies observing the NS were drunk.
no one will know without some uncertainty who did it but we all know who did not do it and cui bono
looks like we’ve got our very own skippy!
That seems like an admission that top secret does mean that other governments don’t know about it, contrary to the claims of the twit above that it is önly to keep citizens in the dark.
Top tier trolling from EZFKA Twitter account. Victorian Electoral Commission put out a post accusing EZFKA of spreading misinformation over a satire post. They legit fact checked satire lol
https://www.twitter.com/electionsvic/status/1587600571573628928
Superb response!
https://twitter.com/auseconomicunit/status/1587690651621232643
Lol!
rent free Andrew bogut photo
fuck me it’s the best meme account on Twitter
You win. Best comment.
He’s got so much rent free in the AEC heads, but I guess he needs it being 7ft tall.
Where is the original satire post?
https://twitter.com/auseconomicunit/status/1584819803193110528
Streisand effect likely from the VEC drawing attention to it.
Drat! You beat me!
Found it!
https://twitter.com/auseconomicunit/status/1584819803193110528
Jezuz they made it hard to even like the post! I had to knowingly like a tweet identified for misinformation…. the algos are sure going to hate what is left of my profile.
The response given is way worse than I thought. “Supervised by scrutineers appointed by candidates “ – so if the major party candidates are WEF stooges, you are practically confirming the satire tweet to be almost true.
Mmm… point. It would be interesting to see how many Jacinda Arderns are running as candidates.
There was plenty running round the grass tracks earlier in the week.
How stupid are those Leftard Dan fans?
A literal conga line of arseholes not one can even spell Satire. Damn I hate the Left for killing comedy. They’re just not ever funny, well maybe just unintentionally.
Some fat slob that used to do black face for laughs can’t take a fat joke these days.
Blacks can’t help being black, but a fat slob can put the bag of chips down for one day at least.
https://blog.canberradeclaration.org.au/2022/10/24/mayoral-candidate-identifies-as-a-frog/
Hope it doesn’t end up in a blender.
My favourite related quote at the moment
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cht-NGCn52g
Jeff Snider gives his take on the RBA’s latest 0.25 rise
he’s determined that this is going to reverse soon
It only matters what the US does for Australia. Pay off your mortgage and none of it matters anyway.
There will be high energy prices for many years they’re not going to reverse course on Russia.
larff
https://twitter.com/MattCowgill/status/1587986639724634112
The kouk seems to have a case of the coming’s and can’t deal with multiple factors influencing the same thing at the same time.
https://twitter.com/usmortality/status/1587918961139744777?s=46&t=rBoytsLP53zXlHjvxawY3Q
Excess mortality in Australia, New Zealand and Sweden 2020-2022
87% of 12+ year olds in Sweden have been vaccinated
so why is the jab genocide not affecting them ?
lols,
a report from twiter and volkswagen. 2 bastions of scientific integrity.
Edit: and a serious question?
If the covid virus is causing it why haven’t they occurred because of that?
And what a surprise,
according to
sweden is running around 4% or 5% excess mortality compared with 2016-2019
what do you think that this indicates?
That coming pulls shit out of his arse without any sort of checking at all given how quickly I found that.
Without more detailed data it doesn’t tell you anything specific.
covid and secondary effects are going to kill a lot of people in every country (except maybe China but it seems like they’re going to let it rip)
sweden just got there’s over and done with
Australia dragged ours out, plus added more deaths related to lockdowns on top of it (due to additional stresses on health system, alcoholism , obesity, loneliness etc)
All three countries will have roughly the same relatively small number of vaccine related deaths as they have roughly the same vaccination rates
if its the jab killing everyone, then why is sweden’s excess mortality less than ours in the post-jab era
So given the implied uselessness of the vaccination to prevent it how is even a single one of the
justified?
I don’t think coming ever said that the Satan juice was justified, in particular the accompanying coercion/mandates.
just that the risk (ie expected cost) is relatively low. This is not a moral argument. It is a pragmatic one.
this is exactly my position
i would just add that I think lockdown was way more egregious and dangerous than the jab mandates were
Lockdowns killed a lot more people than the jab mandates, and killed more people than the virus itself, as well as degraded the quality of life and the society of every single person on the planet
that should be the main focus
I agree the jab mandates should never have been in place – it was certainly outrageous, just not as outrageous as the complete cancellation of democracy and liberty and the western way of life that occurred during lockdown
its a side issue
and I also think you are all discounting the fact that the man-made covid pandemic was real and did actually kill and maim a lot of people – its also scandalous that nobody really cares to find out who caused it
But yeah our reaction to it (lockdown and to a much lesser extent jab mandates) was heinous, and worse than the virus itself
You keep saying that, but the deaths you were blaming on the lockdown are increasingly being shown to be a result of the vax as more data is confirmed and studied,
so where are all the excess vax deaths in sweden then?
5% excess isn’t enough for you? Where aren’t they?
where are you getting 5% from?
essentially no excess deaths in aggregate in the last 18 months in sweden
Or are you still trying to combine the post vax period with the covid peak in 2020 to fool everyone
from your own data, monthly excess mortality since February 2021
-4.8
-7.5
-4.1
0.9
-1.7
-1.6
-0.2
3.7
0.1
2.8
4.4
6.2
3.6
-4.6
-4.4
1.6
4.5
3.1
6.7
what is the average?
And when did vaccination start in earnest in sweden?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_vaccination_in_Sweden
February 2021
Do you even know how to do numbers?
You love to tell everyone else they are wrong and never provide any of your own.
do i know how to “do” numbers?
do you know how to “do” english?
Given your propensity to not understand anything I try and dumb things down as much as humanly possible for you.
Have you ever been tested for autism?
if the risk of infection is MUCH higher than the risk of vaccination, then the jab is justified
(though shouldnt be mandated)
In other words the jab isn’t justifiable for anyone healthy under the age of 50 or so, maybe 40 if obese or younger if other more powerful risk factors (Chronic lung disease, immune deficiency etc)
As I’ve said multiple times, the only reason I got it was to keep my lucrative job
On the other hand, it would have been silly for me to lose my lucrative job for the 1 in hundred thousands chance of severe adverse effect
If I was an unemployed shut-in like you guys, then yeah I probably wouldn’t have got it
But at the end of the day, the risk is small. And the opposing financial penalty was large
Absolute no brainer, and all of you would have made the same decision in my place
nope, I would not as I did not and I gave up a lucrative job to preserve my health and not take unnecessary risks associated with it. I admitted many a times, I went 180°
Another thing altogether is if the risk is rewarded directly, like taking risky jobs or say if you were paid for the jab. Knowing that the jab is a health hazzard for no tangible benefit and yet taking one to preserve a “lucrative job” imo is just a justification of a decision post decision making. Your right to do how you feel though.
the “no brainer” has a multiple meanings of which you may not like one in oarticular.
It was very much a conscious decision I made prior to taking the action
it’s also very much a no brainer
you are either mentality ill (anxiety) , stupid or a liar if you wouldn’t do it
If I offered you $10m right now to get the jab would you refuse it?
thats pretty much what you’re claiming
Absolute bollocks
ok so you are retarded or mentally ill
The jab clearly does nothing to prevent infection, and given the history of lying about it’s performance I tend toward is does not much to nothing about effects either. It would only be justified if it was effective.
it was probably effective for a short period of time, with regards to the variant that was circulating at that point
and of course if it improves your chances by 50%, but your risk of death from infection to start with is only 0.001% then its at best worthless, and probably harmful (given a similar risk of death from the jab itself)
so, the strategy of quickly vaccinating the vulnerable before exposing them (letting it rip) was a decent one
Of course it should only have been the vulnerable who were locked down and jabbed
The young and healthy should have been exposed to the virus early on and then got on with their life instead of waiting for a vaccine that has a higher chance of harming them than the virus does
See how nicely youse agree on the substance, even if you don’t like each other?
people here are hysterical or narcissistic going on about how everyone is going to die from the jab except them
it’s wishful or magical thinking
Like people who believe they have long covid
The reality is always in the middle
Not sure where you keep getting the 1 in 100,000 number.
https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/new-study-shows-that-pretty-much
*severe*
your own link cites a study on *SUBCLINICAL* myocarditis
which by definition is not severe (since it isn’t even clinically apparent)
I would class any kind of heart damage as severe.
then you’d be wrong
https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.120.015912#:~:text=The%20exercise%20type%20seems%20also,heart%20rate%20in%20this%20process.
troponin elevation occurs in 9% of people after LONG DISTANCE WALKING
greater than the incidence of troponin elevation in your study
would you class long distance walking as severe harm?
.
what the fuck is this?
he’s one of the 1 in 100,000 then?
This is what happens when you know nothing about medicine, but listen to grifters like steve “kirsch”
sorry i didn’t see what he wrote
you can see that when you break down the data year by year (look at my link), all of sweden’s excess deaths came in a huge spike in 2020 – clearly a result of the virus itself , as there was no jab and no lockdowns at that point
But in 2021 and 2022, they are running about average mortality, or below (the weak have been killed already)
Australia and new zealand on the other hand, have excess deaths that started out normal in 2020, and are continuing to accelerate into 2020
look at the monthly data from sweden in the photo above and you can see that its noisy but its oscilating around 0 for at least the last 18 months (the entire post-jab era) – some months are negative some months are positive.
That’s normal statistical variance
The excess for 21-22 averages +1.3%
for just 2022 it’s over 2%.
And as you pointed out the weak and elderly have already been killed earlier with the massive previous spike so this increased rate is occurring with less elderly and weak in the population and is still significantly positive, and the increasing rate in 2022 over 2021 would be what you would expect as the 2021 deaths were far more likely to be brought forward than later ones in the weak and elderly.
1.3%?
That’s statistical noise
And could in any case be all related to post-covid infection complications
you’ve gone from 5%, now to 1.3%
Why don’t you average the numbers from when the vaccine roll out started in sweden – February 2021
my question to you was: why does sweden have so much lower excess mortality than aus and nz?
Both are heavily vaccinated
Why are sweden’s numbers so much better if its the jab causing excess mortality?
My god its hard to deal with you sometimes you are thick
You can’t answer any of that without specific data on deaths of vaxxed versus unvaxxed.
Go find the data and I will tell you.
Are they? I haven;t seen any that actually show that.
The only numbers that matters are the rates in comparison of vaxxed and unvaxxed in comparable populations.
How can you be so scientifically illiterate?
why is poland and slovenia doing so much more poorly than sweden with regards to excess mortality, when they have a lower vaccination rate?
There is no relationship between vaccination rates and excess mortality, it is completely random and uncorreltaed
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1196071/covid-19-vaccination-rate-in-europe-by-country/
which is all you need to know to tell you that the jab isn’t the cause or differentiating factor
lol,
same old coming.
Can’t deal with the remote possibility that deaths may be caused by more than 1 thing.
I’ll go out on a limb and suggest sweden might have a much better health care system than slovenia or poland, and is probably much richer per capita and these factors effect death rates quite significantly.
This is why direct comparison of death rates of vaxxed vs unvaxxed in comparable populations(ie the same country) is the only way to say anything about it’s likelihood of causing problems. And last time I looked the UK data was undeniable that vaxxed people were dying at a measurably higher rate than unvaxxed in the UK.
Edit:
I’d imagine the excess death rate in the Ukraine is through the roof at the moment, wonder what their vax rates are like…
ok then
why do germany, france, netherlands, switzerland, norway and finland have way higher recent excess mortality than sweden?
are they comparable countries?
They have identical vaccination rates
except switzerland, which has a way lower vax rate, yet a way higher mortality
And other than that they are completely identical?
You are either beyond stupid or deliberately obtuse. I clearly explained what is required to make a valid comparison and you are objectively ignoring it.
Find some data comparing vaxxed to non vaxxed, not country to country by vax rates and then you might have something.
i dont know if you are fucking stupid or just a troll
but people who are sick/old/fat/ill are more likely to get vaxxed, than those who are young/.healthy/fit
Not sure if you appreciate the fucking irony of talking about confounding variables, and then immediately coming up with the stupidest possible example of exactly that
Not sure if you appreciate the fucking irony of talking about confounding variables, and then immediately coming up with the stupidest possible example of exactly that
lolololololol,
at least you understand, sort of.
I figured even you could understand that one.
I realise that you’re trying to mentally justify to yourself why you ingested Satans Jizm into your body, but nobody really cares.
You’re going to die from the vaxx either suddenly, or shortened lifespan.
+1 for “Satans Jizm”
😅
Along with 87% of the swedish population?
Hate to be the bearer of bad news, but unfortunately you meek losers won’t inherit the earth
lol, the only news you are the bearer of is fake news.
Chiming in very late, but I have a similar view to Coming (not quite as harsh on others though…).I too made the decision to swallow Satan’s jizz mainly for economic expediency, and am pissed off for having been forced, but have a view that it’s your choice regardless.
This makes for a confusing stance to some, from both sides. I have always believed that your choice is yours, not mine. I respect yours, you respect mine, and clearly the risk of you to me has always been negligible. Freedom was sold off so easily by many, but my freedom was never part of the deal.
I set a very clear position with my family when discussing this, my sister was Nursing a morbidly obese patient who she thought should have all rights, yet was happy to deny those same rights for someone not wanting a jab. Worse, she and her medical colleagues denigrated the non jab people. I on the other hand see the fat fuck as the real problem – either they are mentally ill and should be dealt with as such (ie. medicated, controlled, or tossed the fuck out of hospital and off my taxes) or are lazy fucks who deserved no support as if they are a dole bludger.
The question of where this virus came from and from who, is the clearest divider in my mind. If you ignore that, or don’t want to know, or don’t care that it’s been hidden and ignored, you’re beyond help.
https://amp.9news.com.au/article/4d66aacc-8880-4d11-bdea-8ba43e052d45
uh oh dan what’s this
the police didn’t even take a statement from him ?
wow
The scum bag Dan Andrews swapped places with his wife, pretending she was driving and leaving her on the scene to deal with the consequences.
Dodgy Dan left the scene, and the 15 year old kid on the ground in pain with a punctured lung etc. Later, he blamed the kid. Never once checked in with him on his injuries or recovery.
As usual, Victorian cops covered for Dodgy Dan, ignoring their standard operating procedures, especially when a child is injured by a car.
This turd Dan Andrews just keeps plumbing the depths of human behaviour.
But no, it’s a conspiracy according to all the Dan bots.
Have you ventured over to embee and asked Sweeper for his opinion on this?
Whenever I’m faced with a problem, I always ask myself “What would Sweper do?”.
If ever there was a NPC who works to enforce the mainstream consensus it is that fuckwit.
and what does he do?….sfa at a guess